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THE incidence OF AUTISTIC SPECTRUM DISORDERS: HAVE THEY RISEN?
Much has been said recently, both in the scientific literature and in the popular press, about whether or not there has been an increase in the incidence of autism. It is important to remember two things when considering the evidence for or against this claim: first, governments do not routinely collect data on autism, and second, there is no laboratory, genetic, or neurological test for autism. All diagnoses of autism rely on subjective measures (e.g. opinions or rating systems of behaviors). Different academic backgrounds or degrees of clinical or personal experience often result in children receiving different diagnoses from different professionals.
Complicating this problem further is the explosion of information from the neurosciences over the last decade about how brains interpret sensory information, learn, and develop. Never before have we been able to not only understand how abnormal sensory experiences affect the developing brain, learning, behavior and language. Professional who are inexperienced or uninformed about these advances may give a diagnosis of "autism," "attention deficit" or "psychosis" to children whose behaviors or deficits are caused by an auditory or vestibular processing disorder.
While it is true that several standardized measures exist to aid professionals in the diagnoses of autism, there is no universally accepted measure and all of the measures depend upon subjective judgments of how "abnormal" a particular behavior is considered. To complicate matters further, these measures are based upon definitions and criteria and ideas that were proposed over 60 years ago by Kanner and Asperger, well before scientists knew much about either the developing brain or sensory processing problems. Finally, the measures used to determine the presence or absence of autism vary between countries as well as between researchers within a single city.
Because of these difficulties, the reader should regard the following statistics with a certain level of healthy skepticism. They are only a broad and rough estimate of the incidence of autism; rates between areas will vary naturally due to differences in assessment measures, techniques, cultural attitudes, and the professional skills of the individuals who gave the diagnoses in each study.
STUDIES ON THE PREVALENCE OF AUTISTIC SPECTRUM DISORDERS
(to read the abstracts of the studies below click here)
|
Authors |
Location Studied |
Dates of Data |
Who Was Reviewed |
Incidence of Autism Only |
Incidence of All ASD |
|
Baird et al |
South Thames, UK |
2006 |
all 9-10 year olds |
3.9 out of 1000 |
7.7 out of 1000 |
|
Bertrand et al |
Brick Township, NJ, US |
1998 |
3-10 year olds with an ASD diagnosis |
4 out of 1000 |
6.7 out of 1000 |
|
Yeargin-Allsopp et al |
Atlanta Metropolitan Area, US |
1996 and 2000 |
3-10 year olds in Atlanta with an ASD diagnosis |
3.4 out of 1000 |
Not available |
|
Lauritsen et al |
Denmark |
1971-2000 |
All children under 10 years on the Psychiatric Register |
.2 out of 1000 |
Range: .07 to .3 out of 1000 |
|
Smeeth et al |
UK |
1988-2001 |
Individuals with an ASD diagnosis registered with a practice reporting to the General Practice Database |
.4 to 2.98 per 10,000 "person-years" |
0 to 1.06 per 10,000 "person-years" |
|
Williams et al |
NSW and WA, Australia |
1999-2000 |
all children 0-14 with an ASD diagnosis |
Not available |
.4 to .5 out of 1000 |
|
Zhang and Ji |
Tianjin, China |
2005 |
7345 children with ASD or MR age 2-6 years |
Not available |
1.1 out of 1000 |
|
Ellefsen et al |
Faroe Islands |
2002 |
All school children aged 8-17 years |
Not available |
5.6 out of 1000 |
|
Gilberg et al |
Goteborg, Sweden |
2001 |
Entire population aged 6 to 24 years |
2 out of 1000 |
Range: .9 to 3.3 out of 1000 |
| Fombonne et al | Montreal, Canada | 1987-1998 | All children in 55 schools | 2.2 out of 1000 | Range: 1.1 to 6.5 out of 1000 |
|
U.S. Center for Disease Control |
6 areas in the northeast U.S. |
2000 |
8 year olds with an ASD diagnosis |
range: 4.5 in 1000 to 9.9 in 1000 (average 6.7 in 1000) |
Not available |